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Can I Retire?

Without a doubt this is the number one question and concern I hear from people in regards to retirement. Then that question is usually followed by some sort of statement such as "I'm afraid I will run out of money in retirement" etc, etc. So let's talk about this and see if you can retire and have enough money to retire without running out. I think these are question I can answer with a certain amount of confidence and hopefully I can give you some clarification in the process.

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Why is the Market Doing So Well lately?

We’ve basically had a full blown bull market since the market bottom in March. The S&P has a positive 34% return in just two months. How does that make any sense at all? Unemployment is higher than any time since the Great Depression. The death toll from Covid-19 continues to climb slowly, and everybody still says that a vaccine is a year away at least. What gives? It seems like the market has become completely disconnected from reality.

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Do You Have Time to Wait for Stocks to Recover?

Since 1948, there have been 10 Bear markets U.S. excluding the one we are in right now. The average number of years from the peak of the Bear market to the recovery, meaning the time it took for the S&P 500 to climb back to its previous highs was 3.9 years and the median/midpoint was 2.7 years. On five of those occasions, the market recovered in 2 years or less! In other words, market downturns feel much longer than they actually are.

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